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	<title>@quantie &#187; AFL</title>
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	<link>http://quant.com.au</link>
	<description>internet home of Carmel McGinley</description>
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		<title>Point Scoring: Accuracy in the AFL</title>
		<link>http://quant.com.au/2009/charts</link>
		<comments>http://quant.com.au/2009/charts#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 May 2009 10:21:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Carmel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[AFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charts]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://quant.com.au/?p=199</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday Fev missed a crucial goal in the last minute of the Carlton game against Hawthorn. Had he kicked a goal instead of a &#8216;poster&#8217; Carlton would have won the game. It shocked the crowd of 69,000  but I am sure no one was more frustrated or disappointed than Fev himself. On the same day [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday <a title="Brendan Fevola" href="http://www.carltonfc.com.au/players/playerprofile/tabid/7854/default.aspx?playerid=14040&amp;typeid=2" target="_blank">Fev</a> missed a crucial goal in the last minute of the Carlton game against Hawthorn. Had he kicked a goal instead of a &#8216;poster&#8217; Carlton would have won the game. It shocked the crowd of 69,000  but I am sure no one was more frustrated or disappointed than Fev himself.  On the same day the Eagles went down to Freo kicking 9 goals 20.</p>
<p>Predictably post game conversations have focussed on inaccuracy as a systemic problem in the competition. Some argue that not enough is done to develop the goal kicking skills, particularly encouraging players to have a set routine for their shot at goal.</p>
<p>Before we leap to conclusions let&#8217;s see the facts.  The chart below shows the average ratio of goals to points since the start of the (VFL) competition.  There is a surprising amount of variation in accuracy from year to year but quite clearly, there is an upward trend since the 1950s.  In 1956 the average team scored 10 goals 12 behinds. In 2008 it was 14 goals 12.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/overallaccuracy.png"><img class="size-medium wp-image-202 aligncenter" title="overallaccuracy.png" src="http://www.quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/overallaccuracy.png" alt="Chart showing goals scored per behind from 1898 to 2008" width="400" height="243" /></a></p>
<p>So there it is. Perhaps all players don&#8217;t need a ritual like Matthew Lloyd&#8217;s and Fev&#8217;s miss was &#8220;just footy&#8221;!</p>
<p>When it comes to Carlton and West Coast more analysis might be needed.  Carlton&#8217;s trend is upwards, although not as strong as the competition average. For West Coast there is much less data and possibly reflects the performance over than time. I&#8217;ll look at that in another post.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/teamaccuracy.png"><img class="size-medium wp-image-202 aligncenter" title="teamaccuracy.png" src="http://www.quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/teamaccuracy.png" alt="Chart showing goals scored per behind for Carlton and West Coast" width="400" height="243" /></a></p>
<p>Finally, if you would like to see what the accuracy looks like for each team, here it is.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/allteamaccuracy.png"><img class="size-medium wp-image-202 aligncenter" title="allteamaccuracy.png" src="http://www.quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/allteamaccuracy.png" alt="Chart showing goals scored per behind for each of the current teams" width="400" height="243" /></a></p>
<pre><em>Data is for the Home and Away Competition to the end of 2008.</em><em>
Acknowledgements: Statistics from the <a title="AFL Historical Statistics" href="http://stats.afl.com.au/public/home.shtml">AFL</a>. Analysis undertaken in <a title="Tableau Software" href="http://www.tableausoftware.com/">Tableau Software</a>.</em></pre>
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		<title>Tableau and Australian Rules Football</title>
		<link>http://quant.com.au/2009/charts</link>
		<comments>http://quant.com.au/2009/charts#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2009 06:44:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Carmel</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[AFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dashboards]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://quant.com.au/?p=171</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Carlton’ dark decade is coming to an end:) This is the basic dashboard I am using to explain some simple statistics to my 9yo. It kept his attention for more than 2 minutes which is a good outcome around here! As we are Carlton fans we started with some Carlton match statistics over the last [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>Carlton’ dark decade is coming to an end:)</h3>
<p>This is the basic dashboard I am using to explain some simple statistics to my 9yo. It kept his attention for more than 2 minutes which is a good outcome around here!</p>
<div id="attachment_231" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://quant.com.au/wp-content/uploads/carltondashboard1.png"><img class="size-medium wp-image-231" title="Carlton Dashboard" src="http://infoux.com.au/wp-content/uploads/carltondashboard1-300x159.png" alt="Carlton Dashboard" width="300" height="159" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Carlton Dashboard</p></div>
<p>As we are <a title="Carlton Football Club Site" href="http://www.carltonfc.com.au/">Carlton</a> fans we started with some Carlton match statistics over the last three years. You can download the dashboard as a <a title="Carlton Dashboard PDF" href="/wp-content/uploads/CarltonDashboard1.pdf">PDF</a> or as a <a title="Tableau Packaged Workbook" href="/wp-content/uploads/AFLStatsCarlton.twbx">packaged workbook</a>. If you don&#8217;t have the Tableau Software you can download a <a title="Tableau Trial Download" href="http://www.tableausoftware.com/products/trial">trial</a> here or a free viewer<a title="Tableau Reader" href="http://www.tableausoftware.com/products/reader"> here</a>.</p>
<p>The interactive version allows you to select teams to compare. In this static image I show Carlton&#8217;s performance against non-Victorian teams.</p>
<p>I am playing with other <a title="AFL Statistics" href="http://stats.afl.com.au/public/home.shtml">AFL statistics</a>, especially recent wins and attendance stats. If you have any ideas for analysis or would like to see something similar for another team please let me know in the comments.  Of course there are a few teams I won&#8217;t enjoy too much.</p>
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